Sunday, January 1, 2023

Izabella Kaminska Draws Attention To The Meridonal Flow Of The Jet Stream (plus her comments on Zoltan's latest)

There are so many factors that go into what makes weather that it is possibly the quintessential example of a complex-chaotic system. And things get to be just plain fun when you overlay it with another complex-chaotic system, markets, as in carbon, but that's a story for another day—or 15 years ago when emissions trading schemes were all the rage and the carbon traders of the International Emissions Trading Association were the single largest contingent at the Bali climate confab, fully 336 of the 4483 NGO gadflies. (use search box if interested). Here's Izzy:

Among the many things that influence weather at any point in time at any spot on earth, the configuration of the jet stream is always interesting. Here's a snip of a 2019 post that uses a famous (in certain circles) map of the jet stream in 1977 to make the point:

....Two wildcards:
1) The current jet stream flow is meridonal (north - south), similar to 1977:

https://realclimatescience.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/2018-10-16075733_shadow.png

which was a very cold year in natural gas burning areas of the U.S..

2) There are signs the arctic may be setting up for a Sudden Stratospheric Warming event that would push polar air down to lower latitudes.

The question, should the SSW occur, is does the cold air go to North America or Europe/Eurasia.

The situation and questions are almost exactly the same at this very moment. Here's the current jet stream via netweather:

https://max.nwstatic.co.uk/gfsimages/gfs.20230101/12/00/hgt300.png

Here's netweather's interactive jet stream forecaster
And the Daily Mirror is talking about a Sudden Stratospheric Warming event:

....Exacta Weather forecaster James Madden said: "A Sudden Stratospheric Warming event is now looking even more likely to occur this winter and this could happen as soon as in the next 10 days or so.

"This will mean that the cold air over the Arctic will be given a route to cross our shores."

"If an SSW does set in icy weather could hit Brits around the middle of January.....

"...a route to cross our shores"

"We come from the land of the ice and snow
and the midnight sun where the hot springs flow." 
*****
"On we sweep with threshing oar
Our only goal will be the western shore."

—Page/Plant WX, Ltd.

and with that we turn from weather to business:

....MUCH MORE (thread)