Friday, December 27, 2019

Natural Gas: EIA Weekly Storage Report

A big draw, 161 Bcf vs expectations of 150 to 153 Bcf but there is a lot of gas around.
Soon to be front futures (Feb.) 2.199  -0.086 with the January's  down 0.133 at $2.161.
From the Energy Information Administration:
for week ending December 20, 2019   |   Released: December 27, 2019 at 10:30 a.m. 
...Summary
Working gas in storage was 3,250 Bcf as of Friday, December 20, 2019, according to EIA estimates. This represents a net decrease of 161 Bcf from the previous week. Stocks were 518 Bcf higher than last year at this time and 69 Bcf below the five-year average of 3,319 Bcf. At 3,250 Bcf, total working gas is within the five-year historical range....MORE
From the CME, the last few days price action:

https://www.tradingview.com/x/0XFJE6kv/

Natural gas can kill you and I don't mean asphyxiation or explosions. Try trading that in real time.
Which is why we sometimes have to resort to Fibonacci retracements and other such esoterica:

https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhJTLuP8pBw2tR6SAnx1RTN1Mqa9gEO6K9TKvsaf0xFkJzQAFdwYnvws_LyZIbgxFwhfs5Pw5KEBgJGtpULppmai97RPjOJry3_oqbcKofccolQd_lO5hYzcUhHVwx8IDG0Zi3KyW0X4lAM/s1600/homer.jpg
Oops, wrong example.
Lets try this:
http://www.lockhaven.edu/~dsimanek/pseudo/fibonacci-water.jpg

As we observe, the Fibs are natural and can be seen everywhere. So obviously, uhhh, higher?
Lower?
Higher.