Saturday, September 14, 2019

The Most Famous Statistical Chart in History

From Delancey Place:
Today's selection -- from The Minard System by Sandra Rendgen. In an age when the use and importance of data and statistics were first emerging, Charles Joseph Minard (1781-1870) pioneered the use of visuals to portray that data. His most famous chart, published in 1869 and revered by those in his field, shows Napoleon's army of 422,000 soldiers marching to Moscow and returning as a decimated force of only 10,000:

"This work has stood out from Minard's extensive oeuvre for a long time and continues to do so today. Its fame has even produced some curious mementos, such as a T-shirt feauturing [it]. ... Much of this selective fame can be traced back to the enthusiastic praise that the American statistician and political scientist Edward Tufte (b. 1942) bestowed on this graphic. He reasoned that 'it may well be the best statistical graphic ever drawn,' and published a facsimile of it. ...

"The source of Minard's prevail­ing fame [is] his flow map relating to Napo­leon's Russian Campaign in 1812-1813 [below]. It is puzzling that it is so often shown as an isolated work when it actu­ally forms part of a comparison with a second flow map, which covers the 218 BC march of Carthagian commander Hannibal who, along with an army of ninety thousand men, crossed over the Alps toward Rome. The two maps show the 'progressive losses in men' that both armies suffered. The flows are construct­ed to the same scale. It is important to note that both campaigns consisted of countless separate movements and were interrupted by battles, overnight stays, retreats and advances, and the parting and reunion of troops. To show both campaigns as a constant flow is 'an effective generalization of a historic event.'

"The Napoleon graphic manages to integrate six data variables in a con­densed representation devoid of visual clutter. Its base map is strikingly reduced -- except for a few rivers, barely any landscape features are delineated. The westernmost point is the city of Kowno (Kaunas, in what is today Lithuania) on the river Neman. In the east the city of Moscow is the extreme point of the flow. Note that the place names are neither consistently local nor taken from any par­ticular language but switch from French to German to Slavic. The flow enters Russia from Poland with 422,000 men; the retreating army crosses the Neman with only 10,000 men remaining. The graphic is enhanced by a temperature diagram (referring to the Réaumur scale) connected to the retreating flow. Contrary to conventional line diagrams, this one has the time running from right to left in order to follow the westward retreat....MORE
The graph in the lower panel is temperature on the Réaumur scale. The lowest figure, −30°R = −37.5 °C. 

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/2/29/Minard.png

We've looked at Minard's work of genius a few times:

History of the Timeline
Starting with the astounding Minard depiction of Napoleon's Russian campaign, still one of the most amazing data visualizations.
From The Morning News:
Cartographies of Time
Selections from a captivating history of timelines—from time circles to time dragons, to a history of the world drawn on a single piece of paper.....

Huh, this Data Visualization thing is Older than I thought

And at the invasion of Russia
Borodino: The Field on which Empires Clashed