Friday, September 1, 2017

Moody's Analytics Is Estimating Hurricane Harvey Losses at $108 Billion

Considerably below AccuWeather's $160 billion but still the largest in U.S. history.
From Artemis:

Harvey cost could be $108bn: Moody’s. NFIP loss could be $9bn: Corelogic
Moody’s Analytics has now increased its estimate for the economic loss caused by hurricane Harvey to as much as $108 billion, reflecting an expectation that the insurance and reinsurance loss will rise further.

Moody’s Analytics had originally pegged the economic loss from Harvey at $75 billion earlier this week, but now raises its estimate to between $81 billion and $108 billion.

At the upper end of that range hurricane Harvey will be confirmed as the second most costly natural disaster to strike the United States, after hurricane Katrina which is now seen as a $175bn loss by Moody’s Analytics.

The analysts break down this economic loss projection as follows:

Homes: $45-55 billion
Commercial Property: $15-20 billion
Vehicles: $8-12 billion
Infrastructure: $5-10 billion
Total damages: $73-97 billion
Lost economic output: $8-11 billion
Total cost: $81-$108 billion

Interesting to note the size of the commercial property, auto and infrastructure loss, as a relatively significant portion of those losses could fall to reinsurance markets.

Meanwhile,. Corelogic has estimated the economic costs of residential flooding at between $25 billion and $37 billion, with around 70% of the total uninsured.

Of this figure the National Flood Insurance Program is estimated to take $6 billion to $9 billion of the loss, which puts the NFIP reinsurance program firmly in play....MORE
Wednesday:
AccuWeather Now Has the Highest Hurricane Harvey Damage Estimate We've Seen: $160 Billion