Saturday, March 15, 2025

"The most profound technologies are those that disappear...."

From Mathew Harris' Agora substack, March 1

Digital Labor Agents
And Sector Creation 

The most profound technologies are those that disappear. They weave themselves into the fabric of everyday life until they are indistinguishable from it.

Mark Weiser, Chief Technologist, Xerox PARC

Digital labor agents can be defined as autonomous artificial intelligence constructs that will make decisions on their own behalf and gets things done for you.

They’ll start by taking over routine tasks, but what I’m more interested in is how they’ll also spark entirely new industries.

AI systems are already driving change in healthcare, supply chain, and creative fields, with early adopters seeing productivity gains of 30–45%.

As machines take on more operational roles, the blend of human creativity with machine precision will redefine what it means to be competitive.

At the same time, we'll need smart policies to help workers adapt, ensure digital agent accountability, and protect our data from third parties.

The Nitty Gritty

Agentic AI refers to self-directed systems that perceive environmental data, formulate goals, and execute tasks without continuous human oversight. Unlike scripted chatbots, these agents demonstrate:

  • Adaptive learning: Modifying decision protocols based on real-time feedback, as seen in AI-driven supply chains that adjust procurement strategies amid geopolitical disruptions.

  • Cross-domain interoperability: Healthcare diagnostic agents, for example, integrate radiology data with genomic databases to propose personalized treatment pathways to physicians.

  • Ethical reasoning layers: Financial compliance agents balancing profit motives with regulatory constraints using game-theoretic models.

If Reasoning Models are like having a Post Graduate research assistant, a Digital Labor Agent will be like having an early career employee, who you give direction to and they will go off and figure out how best to accomplish the goal you have set them.

Restructuring Labor Markets and Sector Creation...

....MUCH MORE

That disappearing technology quote is profound in its simplicity, describing how humans experience technology, probably since the third or fourth generation to purposely use fire.

I tried, on a few occasions to capture the idea but didn't come close to Professor Weiser's statement.

Here's one attempt, the outro of a 2010 post:

*For now, and the immediate future, don't go looking for nanotechnology "companies". That was the false expectation that came out of the dot.com crash. Instead you'll see companies using nano to gain incremental advantages that will add up, for some, to market dominance in one field or another.

That's not to say that brainiacs at MIT or Stanford or Cambridge won't use a corporate structure to monetize their discoveries, just that you won't be able to get a piece of the action before Kyocera or Bayer or DuPont snatch it up. 
And another:

There is a definitional problem with the term "AI stocks [or companies]" in that AI is a tool. Much as the (over) hyped nanotechnology revolution didn't produce "nanotech stocks" but instead became incorporated into processes and procedures that give companies employing same an incremental edge rather than epochal shifts.*

However, if there is an AI "company" Nvidia would deserve the moniker as much as anyone.

That's me, quoting myself from the introduction to a 2020 post.

Here at Climateer Investing, We Recycle!