Wednesday, January 15, 2025

"CPI for all items rises 0.4% in December; gasoline and shelter up"

That's the headline at the BLS. First up, Barron's relays the FactSet survey:

Here's what economists surveyed by FactSet expected:

YoY: Consumer prices are expected to have increased by 2.8% vs. 2.7% in November

MoM: 0.3% increase, matching November's rate

Core YoY: 3.3% increase, matching November's rate

Core MoM: 0.2% increase vs. 0.3% in November

And their flash headline:

Stronger-Than-Expected Inflation Puts Further Rate Cut Plans on Ice

And back to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, January 15:

CONSUMER PRICE INDEX - DECEMBER 2024

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.4 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis in December, after rising 0.3 percent in November, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 2.9 percent before seasonal adjustment.

The index for energy rose 2.6 percent in December, accounting for over forty percent of the monthly all items increase. The gasoline index increased 4.4 percent over the month. The index for food also increased in December, rising 0.3 percent as both the index for food at home and the index for food away from home increased 0.3 percent each.

The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.2 percent in December, after increasing 0.3 percent in each of the previous 4 months. Indexes that increased in December include shelter, airline fares, used cars and trucks, new vehicles, motor vehicle insurance, and medical care. The indexes for personal care, communication, and alcoholic beverages were among the few major indexes that decreased over the month.

The all items index rose 2.9 percent for the 12 months ending December, after rising 2.7 percent over the 12 months ending November. The all items less food and energy index rose 3.2 percent over the last 12 months. The energy index decreased 0.5 percent for the 12 months ending December. The food index increased 2.5 percent over the last year....

....MUCH MORE, tables, discussion.

Barron's followup headline:

Core Inflation Reading Softer Than Expected