Friday, February 9, 2024

Ahead Of Next Week's CPI Report: The Cleveland Fed Is Looking For A Decrease In The Monthly Before Reaccelerating Higher In The March Release

From the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland's Inflation Nowcasting, February 9:

  • Background: “Nowcasts” are estimates or forecasts of the present.
  • Description: We provide daily nowcasts of inflation for two popular price indexes, the price index for personal consumption expenditures (PCE) and the Consumer Price Index (CPI).
Inflation, month-over-month percent change
MonthCPICore CPIPCECore PCEUpdated
February 20240.33  0.310.23  0.2202/09
January 20240.13  0.320.13  0.2402/09

....MORE 

The January actual CPI data is scheduled to be released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on February 13, 2024, at 8:30 A.M. Eastern Time. 

Feb. numbers next month

For comparison, the December 2023 CPI reported on January 11, 2024 came in at 0.30%