Climateer Investing

In war, everything not censored is a lie.

Sunday, April 2, 2023

Stock Rally? It's The Liquidity

From everyone's favorite German commentator:

It's the liquidity, stupid! Nasdaq 100 and the combined balance sheet of the Fed, ECB, and Bank of Japan move in tandem. pic.twitter.com/6HIw7hi4ox

— Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) April 2, 2023

We've been beating this drum for over a year. Most recently:

  • "The Cantillon Effect: Because of Inflation, We’re Financing the Financiers"
  • The Cantillon Effect and Populism
  • QT? What QT?
  • Fed Balance Sheet: The Recent Ructions Have Wiped Out All The Quantitative Tightening Of the Last Four Months
  • QT, We Hardly Knew Ye: JPMorgan Believes The New Fed Asset Purchase Program, BTFP, Could be Around $2 Trillion
  • "Any attempt at analysis of Fed policy and market moves by traditional means...is just so much blather"
  • Liquidity In The System: See Also U.S. Commercial and Industrial Loans
  • "The secret to stocks’ success so far in 2023? An unexpected $1 trillion liquidity boost by central banks."

That gets us back to March 3 (Obsessive? Moi?)
Here are some older favorites:

January 27, just looking at the U.S. "How Can We Have A Bear Market Rally? Because Financial Conditions Aren't Getting Tighter, Au Contraire...." 

Preceded, Jan. 23, by the Fed, BoJ and ECB in "An Interesting Chart: Equities and Central Bank Balance Sheets"

And China in December:

"China Quietly Launches QE: Beijing Orders Large Insurers To Buy Bonds To Contain Selling Panic" 

climateer at 5:22 PM
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