Thursday, December 26, 2024

Solar: "China Debuts Polysilicon Futures Trading in Volatile Market"

From Bloomberg via Yahoo Finance, December 26:

China’s first polysilicon futures debuted on Thursday, as a new hedging tool for a market that has been contending with massive price volatility.

The first day of trading on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange saw prices for the solar-making material on the most-active June contract rally to their upper limit of 44,000 yuan a ton after producers pledged to cut output. The market ended 7.7% higher at 41,570 yuan a ton. A total of 331,253 lots changed hands, over 90% of them for June.

The bourse is offering seven contracts for delivery starting from June. The margin requirement is 9% of the contract value. Prices will be allowed to rise or fall by 7% from the previous settlement, after a swing of 14% was allowed on the first day.

China is the world’s biggest producer of polysilicon, used in solar panels, and the industry is struggling with a huge surplus that has seen prices tumble nearly 90% over the past two years. Like other parts of the solar supply chain, far too much capacity has been built relative to demand, which has slashed profitability....

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I do not know what took so long. The introduction of futures is usually taken to mean the endorsement of a market as mature (see bitcoin). In the case of polysilicon the cash market has been "mature" for ten or fifteen years.

Frankincense, of course, being the exception that proves the rule.